Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After a 20% Seven-Day Drop?
BNB has recorded 2 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.25% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 2 | -3.83% | -3.83% | 50.0% | 5.16% | -12.81% |
| 3 days | 2 | -1.90% | -1.90% | 50.0% | 3.27% | -7.08% |
| 7 days | 2 | -3.25% | -3.25% | 50.0% | 6.10% | -12.59% |
| 14 days | 2 | -5.45% | -5.45% | 50.0% | 2.32% | -13.21% |
| 30 days | 2 | -3.99% | -3.99% | 50.0% | 1.96% | -9.94% |
| 90 days | 2 | 8.10% | 8.10% | 50.0% | 25.62% | -9.42% |
Historical occurrences
2 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | -20.16 | $574.29 | +5.16% | +3.27% | +6.10% | +2.32% | +1.96% | +25.62% |
| 2026-02-05 | -22.83 | $696.06 | -12.81% | -7.08% | -12.59% | -13.21% | -9.94% | -9.42% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-07: +6.10%
- 2026-02-05: -12.59%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-05: -12.59%
- 2026-06-07: +6.10%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.