Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After a 15% 30-Day Correction?
BNB has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.82% and 40.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -17.7% to -15.2% | 1 |
| -15.2% to -12.7% | 0 |
| -12.7% to -10.2% | 0 |
| -10.2% to -7.7% | 0 |
| -7.7% to -5.2% | 0 |
| -5.2% to -2.7% | 2 |
| -2.7% to -0.2% | 0 |
| -0.2% to +2.3% | 1 |
| +2.3% to +4.8% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 5 | -0.45% | -1.05% | 40.0% | 2.72% | -7.50% |
| 3 days | 5 | -4.36% | -3.22% | 20.0% | 5.80% | -13.02% |
| 7 days | 5 | -2.82% | -3.62% | 40.0% | 4.82% | -17.70% |
| 14 days | 5 | -8.81% | -7.17% | 20.0% | 1.47% | -17.86% |
| 30 days | 5 | -6.98% | -5.99% | 20.0% | 2.29% | -13.88% |
| 90 days | 4 | -24.87% | -25.12% | 0.0% | -17.27% | -33.49% |
Historical occurrences
5 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | -22.34 | $558.62 | -2.28% | -0.09% | +4.82% | +1.47% | +2.29% | — |
| 2026-02-04 | -16.04 | $752.54 | -7.50% | -13.02% | -17.70% | -17.86% | -13.88% | -17.27% |
| 2025-11-18 | -17.08 | $906.02 | +2.72% | -4.44% | -4.58% | -8.81% | -6.98% | -32.20% |
| 2025-11-12 | -26.51 | $957.72 | -0.45% | -4.36% | -2.82% | -9.96% | -7.49% | -33.49% |
| 2025-11-05 | -19.74 | $937.06 | +2.25% | +5.80% | +2.20% | -0.68% | -3.90% | -17.53% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-30: +4.82%
- 2025-11-05: +2.20%
- 2025-11-12: -2.82%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-04: -17.70%
- 2025-11-18: -4.58%
- 2025-11-12: -2.82%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.