Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After a 10% One-Day Rise?
BNB has recorded 2 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -17.49% and 0.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 2 | -1.00% | -1.00% | 0.0% | -0.67% | -1.33% |
| 3 days | 2 | -10.14% | -10.14% | 0.0% | -9.60% | -10.67% |
| 7 days | 2 | -17.49% | -17.49% | 0.0% | -14.82% | -20.16% |
| 14 days | 2 | -13.98% | -13.98% | 0.0% | -12.67% | -15.29% |
| 30 days | 2 | -24.43% | -24.43% | 0.0% | -22.34% | -26.51% |
| 90 days | 2 | -17.17% | -17.17% | 0.0% | -3.89% | -30.44% |
Historical occurrences
2 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 11.95 | $719.28 | -1.33% | -9.60% | -20.16% | -15.29% | -22.34% | -3.89% |
| 2025-10-13 | 14.63 | $1303.27 | -0.67% | -10.67% | -14.82% | -12.67% | -26.51% | -30.44% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-13: -14.82%
- 2026-05-31: -20.16%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-31: -20.16%
- 2025-10-13: -14.82%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.