Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After 5 Consecutive Red Days?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.58% and 60.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -2.4% to -1.1% | 2 |
| -1.1% to +0.2% | 0 |
| +0.2% to +1.6% | 0 |
| +1.6% to +2.9% | 2 |
| +2.9% to +4.3% | 0 |
| +4.3% to +5.6% | 0 |
| +5.6% to +6.9% | 0 |
| +6.9% to +8.3% | 0 |
| +8.3% to +9.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
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Historical occurrences
5 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | -2.15 | $370.21 | +0.85% | -2.44% | -7.15% | -27.40% | -46.11% | -44.58% |
| 2026-04-06 | -2.38 | $431.37 | +1.07% | +2.38% | -2.09% | +1.15% | +6.93% | -45.28% |
| 2025-12-25 | -0.70 | $568.26 | +3.73% | +9.63% | +5.47% | +10.68% | +4.66% | -15.47% |
| 2025-10-19 | -0.35 | $468.54 | +0.90% | +2.71% | +8.55% | +18.30% | +4.64% | +27.94% |
| 2025-09-24 | -1.88 | $556.87 | -0.05% | -1.59% | +0.58% | +3.63% | -13.68% | +5.89% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-19: +8.55%
- 2025-12-25: +5.47%
- 2025-09-24: +0.58%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-20: -7.15%
- 2026-04-06: -2.09%
- 2025-09-24: +0.58%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.