Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After a 3x Volume Spike?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -6.97% and 40.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -31.6% to -26.4% | 1 |
| -26.4% to -21.3% | 1 |
| -21.3% to -16.2% | 0 |
| -16.2% to -11.0% | 1 |
| -11.0% to -5.9% | 0 |
| -5.9% to -0.8% | 1 |
| -0.8% to +4.4% | 0 |
| +4.4% to +9.5% | 0 |
| +9.5% to +14.7% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 5 | 0.77% | 0.25% | 60.0% | 4.55% | -2.83% |
| 3 days | 5 | 0.54% | 3.71% | 60.0% | 29.75% | -10.64% |
| 7 days | 5 | -6.97% | -2.39% | 40.0% | 26.01% | -20.05% |
| 14 days | 5 | -12.68% | -11.57% | 20.0% | 14.65% | -31.58% |
| 30 days | 4 | -20.30% | -18.03% | 25.0% | 12.35% | -43.88% |
| 90 days | 4 | -4.61% | -7.70% | 50.0% | 24.55% | -46.13% |
Historical occurrences
5 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 4.66 | $213.28 | +4.55% | +29.75% | +26.01% | +14.65% | — | — |
| 2026-06-09 | 4.49 | $209.35 | -2.83% | -2.00% | +7.22% | -5.77% | +12.35% | +24.55% |
| 2026-06-04 | 4.96 | $243.17 | +0.90% | -10.64% | -20.05% | -12.68% | -5.72% | +1.15% |
| 2026-05-29 | 3.01 | $299.86 | +0.77% | +0.91% | -18.18% | -31.58% | -34.88% | -10.37% |
| 2026-05-19 | 5.11 | $378.36 | -2.15% | +0.54% | -6.97% | -22.46% | -43.88% | -46.13% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +26.01%
- 2026-06-09: +7.22%
- 2026-05-19: -6.97%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-04: -20.05%
- 2026-05-29: -18.18%
- 2026-05-19: -6.97%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.