Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After a 20% Seven-Day Drop?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 3 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -18.18% and 0.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 3 | 0.77% | -1.73% | 66.7% | 3.57% | -9.53% |
| 3 days | 3 | -0.22% | -7.08% | 33.3% | 0.91% | -21.94% |
| 7 days | 3 | -18.18% | -15.40% | 0.0% | -3.69% | -24.32% |
| 14 days | 3 | -20.41% | -19.16% | 0.0% | -5.49% | -31.58% |
| 30 days | 3 | -18.12% | -12.23% | 33.3% | 16.30% | -34.88% |
| 90 days | 3 | -8.10% | 1.28% | 33.3% | 22.30% | -10.37% |
Historical occurrences
3 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | -30.56 | $209.81 | +3.57% | -0.22% | -3.69% | -5.49% | +16.30% | +22.30% |
| 2026-06-03 | -21.81 | $268.78 | -9.53% | -21.94% | -24.32% | -20.41% | -18.12% | -8.10% |
| 2026-05-29 | -21.17 | $299.86 | +0.77% | +0.91% | -18.18% | -31.58% | -34.88% | -10.37% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-06: -3.69%
- 2026-05-29: -18.18%
- 2026-06-03: -24.32%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-03: -24.32%
- 2026-05-29: -18.18%
- 2026-06-06: -3.69%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.