Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After a 20% 30-Day Correction?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 2.28% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets โ ยท Backtest this rule โ
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 4 | -0.56% | 2.73% | 25.0% | 13.54% | -1.50% |
| 3 days | 4 | -0.34% | 2.70% | 50.0% | 15.07% | -3.58% |
| 7 days | 4 | 2.28% | -0.42% | 50.0% | 10.08% | -16.34% |
| 14 days | 4 | 6.65% | -1.64% | 50.0% | 22.05% | -41.91% |
| 30 days | 4 | -1.70% | -11.68% | 25.0% | 2.73% | -46.06% |
| 90 days | 4 | -16.93% | -11.62% | 50.0% | 25.63% | -38.26% |
Historical occurrences
4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only โ outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | -21.58 | $361.17 | -1.50% | -2.55% | -16.34% | -41.91% | -46.06% | -38.26% |
| 2026-02-28 | -21.21 | $464.87 | -0.78% | -3.58% | -2.43% | -0.61% | -2.75% | -35.50% |
| 2026-02-06 | -28.00 | $458.44 | +13.54% | +15.07% | +10.08% | +22.05% | -0.66% | +1.63% |
| 2025-10-18 | -23.75 | $470.16 | -0.35% | +1.87% | +6.99% | +13.90% | +2.73% | +25.63% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +10.08%
- 2025-10-18: +6.99%
- 2026-02-28: -2.43%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-23: -16.34%
- 2026-02-28: -2.43%
- 2025-10-18: +6.99%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) โ 1) ร 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.