Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After a 10% One-Day Rise?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.27% and 40.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -6.0% to -5.0% | 2 |
| -5.0% to -4.0% | 0 |
| -4.0% to -3.0% | 0 |
| -3.0% to -2.1% | 0 |
| -2.1% to -1.1% | 0 |
| -1.1% to -0.1% | 0 |
| -0.1% to +0.9% | 0 |
| +0.9% to +1.9% | 1 |
| +1.9% to +2.9% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 5 | -0.24% | -0.80% | 40.0% | 4.32% | -5.18% |
| 3 days | 5 | 0.92% | -1.07% | 60.0% | 2.88% | -6.01% |
| 7 days | 5 | -0.27% | -1.58% | 40.0% | 8.35% | -13.93% |
| 14 days | 5 | -2.28% | -4.15% | 40.0% | 8.06% | -17.57% |
| 30 days | 4 | -9.91% | -6.31% | 25.0% | 10.66% | -16.08% |
| 90 days | 4 | -18.16% | -14.48% | 25.0% | 4.85% | -26.43% |
Historical occurrences
5 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 29.21 | $288.11 | -3.95% | -6.01% | -13.93% | -13.88% | — | — |
| 2026-02-14 | 11.75 | $563.99 | -0.24% | +0.92% | -0.27% | -17.57% | -16.08% | -22.89% |
| 2026-02-07 | 13.54 | $520.51 | +1.05% | +2.46% | +8.35% | +8.06% | -13.94% | -13.44% |
| 2025-12-20 | 10.46 | $624.66 | -5.18% | -5.61% | -4.97% | -2.28% | -5.88% | -26.43% |
| 2025-11-22 | 11.06 | $533.60 | +4.32% | +2.88% | +2.94% | +4.91% | +10.66% | +4.85% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-07: +8.35%
- 2025-11-22: +2.94%
- 2026-02-14: -0.27%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-08-22: -13.93%
- 2025-12-20: -4.97%
- 2026-02-14: -0.27%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.