Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Avalanche
64 historical signal(s) detected for Avalanche; 34 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (30 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-12 | 2025-09-19 | $29.1721 | $35.2323 | +20.77% | 120.77 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025-09-27 | $33.7593 | $29.0496 | -13.95% | 103.92 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025-10-04 | $29.0496 | $31.3682 | +7.98% | 112.22 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $20.8648 | $19.9597 | -4.34% | 107.35 |
| 2025-10-20 | 2025-10-27 | $20.5929 | $20.8292 | +1.15% | 108.58 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $20.8292 | $18.8415 | -9.54% | 98.22 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2025-11-16 | $17.4754 | $15.5194 | -11.19% | 87.23 |
| 2025-11-21 | 2025-11-28 | $13.8139 | $15.0210 | +8.74% | 94.85 |
| 2025-12-04 | 2025-12-11 | $14.8057 | $14.1288 | -4.57% | 90.51 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-25 | $11.8444 | $12.1055 | +2.20% | 92.51 |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-05 | $12.6381 | $14.2935 | +13.10% | 104.62 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2026-01-19 | $13.7275 | $12.7486 | -7.13% | 97.16 |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026-02-22 | $9.6726 | $9.2076 | -4.81% | 92.49 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026-03-01 | $9.2076 | $9.2290 | +0.23% | 92.71 |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026-03-10 | $9.2129 | $9.3056 | +1.01% | 93.64 |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026-03-19 | $9.5542 | $9.7177 | +1.71% | 95.24 |
| 2026-03-26 | 2026-04-02 | $9.7527 | $9.1290 | -6.40% | 89.15 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $9.1290 | $9.0464 | -0.90% | 88.35 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2026-04-18 | $9.3956 | $9.7368 | +3.63% | 91.55 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2026-04-25 | $9.7368 | $9.3965 | -3.50% | 88.35 |
| 2026-04-26 | 2026-05-03 | $9.3644 | $9.1818 | -1.95% | 86.63 |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-12 | $9.1733 | $10.1238 | +10.36% | 95.61 |
| 2026-05-21 | 2026-05-28 | $9.2873 | $9.0297 | -2.77% | 92.96 |
| 2026-06-02 | 2026-06-09 | $8.9231 | $6.7634 | -24.20% | 70.46 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-23 | $6.8369 | $6.2298 | -8.88% | 64.20 |
| 2026-06-28 | 2026-07-05 | $6.4243 | $6.9592 | +8.33% | 69.55 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2026-07-12 | $6.9592 | $6.5461 | -5.94% | 65.42 |
| 2026-07-12 | 2026-07-19 | $6.5461 | $6.5677 | +0.33% | 65.63 |
| 2026-07-19 | 2026-07-26 | $6.5677 | $6.7721 | +3.11% | 67.68 |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-04 | $6.4016 | $6.5662 | +2.57% | 69.42 |
| 2026-08-06 | 2026-08-13 | $6.6558 | $6.3134 | -5.14% | 65.85 |
| 2026-08-16 | 2026-08-23 | $6.3244 | $7.4933 | +18.48% | 78.02 |
| 2026-08-29 | 2026-09-05 | $7.3064 | $7.3855 | +1.08% | 78.86 |
| 2026-09-09 | 2026-09-16 | $8.0086 | $7.2676 | -9.25% | 71.56 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Avalanche · Read the full methodology