Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Falls to -0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding falls to -0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for TRON
59 historical signal(s) detected for TRON; 32 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (27 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-22 | $0.3485 | $0.3427 | -1.67% | 98.33 |
| 2025-09-29 | 2025-10-06 | $0.3356 | $0.3415 | +1.75% | 100.06 |
| 2025-10-08 | 2025-10-15 | $0.3380 | $0.3170 | -6.23% | 93.82 |
| 2025-10-21 | 2025-10-28 | $0.3226 | $0.2982 | -7.55% | 86.74 |
| 2025-11-02 | 2025-11-09 | $0.2974 | $0.2914 | -2.02% | 84.99 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $0.2945 | $0.2866 | -2.71% | 82.69 |
| 2025-11-25 | 2025-12-02 | $0.2748 | $0.2769 | +0.79% | 83.34 |
| 2025-12-04 | 2025-12-11 | $0.2805 | $0.2801 | -0.13% | 83.23 |
| 2025-12-12 | 2025-12-19 | $0.2805 | $0.2793 | -0.45% | 82.86 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $0.2786 | $0.2870 | +2.99% | 85.34 |
| 2026-01-02 | 2026-01-09 | $0.2870 | $0.2947 | +2.69% | 87.63 |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026-01-16 | $0.2947 | $0.3124 | +5.99% | 92.88 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026-01-27 | $0.3118 | $0.2965 | -4.92% | 88.31 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $0.2948 | $0.2693 | -8.66% | 80.67 |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026-02-15 | $0.2781 | $0.2825 | +1.58% | 81.94 |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026-02-22 | $0.2825 | $0.2891 | +2.35% | 83.87 |
| 2026-02-23 | 2026-03-02 | $0.2881 | $0.2809 | -2.52% | 81.76 |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026-03-14 | $0.2846 | $0.2935 | +3.13% | 84.31 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $0.2954 | $0.3075 | +4.08% | 87.75 |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-04-01 | $0.3061 | $0.3132 | +2.29% | 89.77 |
| 2026-04-03 | 2026-04-10 | $0.3238 | $0.3311 | +2.27% | 91.80 |
| 2026-04-13 | 2026-04-20 | $0.3213 | $0.3291 | +2.45% | 94.05 |
| 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | $0.3297 | $0.3231 | -2.00% | 92.17 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $0.3677 | $0.3329 | -9.46% | 83.44 |
| 2026-06-23 | 2026-06-30 | $0.3337 | $0.3210 | -3.80% | 80.28 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-07 | $0.3210 | $0.3295 | +2.64% | 82.39 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $0.3315 | $0.3257 | -1.73% | 80.96 |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-04 | $0.3249 | $0.3286 | +1.14% | 81.88 |
| 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-12 | $0.3271 | $0.3349 | +2.39% | 83.84 |
| 2026-08-17 | 2026-08-24 | $0.3310 | $0.3440 | +3.94% | 87.14 |
| 2026-08-26 | 2026-09-02 | $0.3362 | $0.3222 | -4.17% | 83.51 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.