Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Falls to -0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding falls to -0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Cardano
43 historical signal(s) detected for Cardano; 26 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (17 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.6359 | $0.6247 | -1.76% | 98.24 |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-07 | $0.6009 | $0.5315 | -11.55% | 86.90 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-17 | $0.4702 | $0.3855 | -18.02% | 71.24 |
| 2025-12-22 | 2025-12-29 | $0.3663 | $0.3683 | +0.55% | 71.63 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $0.3333 | $0.4021 | +20.64% | 86.42 |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026-01-23 | $0.4038 | $0.3750 | -7.13% | 80.26 |
| 2026-01-26 | 2026-02-02 | $0.3562 | $0.2962 | -16.84% | 66.75 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $0.2541 | $0.2832 | +11.46% | 74.40 |
| 2026-02-16 | 2026-02-23 | $0.2922 | $0.2831 | -3.13% | 72.06 |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026-03-10 | $0.2870 | $0.2680 | -6.64% | 67.28 |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026-03-19 | $0.2628 | $0.2871 | +9.24% | 73.50 |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026-03-28 | $0.2662 | $0.2464 | -7.43% | 68.04 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2026-04-08 | $0.2423 | $0.2639 | +8.95% | 74.12 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2026-04-18 | $0.2541 | $0.2589 | +1.87% | 75.51 |
| 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-27 | $0.2428 | $0.2523 | +3.91% | 78.46 |
| 2026-04-27 | 2026-05-04 | $0.2523 | $0.2495 | -1.11% | 77.59 |
| 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-22 | $0.2702 | $0.2502 | -7.39% | 71.86 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $0.2369 | $0.2002 | -15.49% | 60.73 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $0.1566 | $0.1696 | +8.28% | 65.75 |
| 2026-06-14 | 2026-06-21 | $0.1717 | $0.1631 | -4.98% | 62.48 |
| 2026-06-28 | 2026-07-05 | $0.1451 | $0.1920 | +32.34% | 82.69 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-17 | $0.1665 | $0.1607 | -3.46% | 79.83 |
| 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $0.1660 | $0.1659 | -0.11% | 79.74 |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-03 | $0.1659 | $0.1894 | +14.17% | 91.04 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-12 | $0.2112 | $0.2062 | -2.36% | 88.90 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.