Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 5% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 5% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Sui
23 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 18 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-02 | 2025-10-09 | $3.5249 | $3.5367 | +0.33% | 100.33 |
| 2025-10-13 | 2025-10-20 | $2.8096 | $2.5810 | -8.14% | 92.17 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $2.6761 | $2.3551 | -11.99% | 81.12 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $2.1502 | $1.7415 | -19.01% | 65.70 |
| 2025-11-25 | 2025-12-02 | $1.5269 | $1.3458 | -11.86% | 57.90 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $1.6283 | $1.6587 | +1.87% | 58.99 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $1.4809 | $1.3968 | -5.68% | 55.64 |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026-01-10 | $1.6113 | $1.8205 | +12.98% | 62.86 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $1.8951 | $1.4932 | -21.21% | 49.53 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $1.0249 | $0.9944 | -2.98% | 48.06 |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026-02-22 | $1.0545 | $0.9898 | -6.14% | 45.11 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $0.9921 | $0.9756 | -1.66% | 44.36 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $0.9622 | $0.9347 | -2.86% | 43.09 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2026-05-16 | $1.0226 | $1.0989 | +7.47% | 46.31 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $0.7572 | $0.8027 | +6.01% | 49.09 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $0.7619 | $0.7713 | +1.23% | 49.70 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $0.7056 | $0.7674 | +8.75% | 54.04 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $0.7833 | $0.7273 | -7.15% | 50.18 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.