Transparent historical data
What Happens to Avalanche After a New 30-Day High?
Avalanche has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.76% and 20.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -8.0% to -5.9% | 1 |
| -5.9% to -3.9% | 0 |
| -3.9% to -1.8% | 0 |
| -1.8% to +0.3% | 1 |
| +0.3% to +2.3% | 1 |
| +2.3% to +4.4% | 1 |
| +4.4% to +6.5% | 0 |
| +6.5% to +8.5% | 0 |
| +8.5% to +10.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 5 | 0.57% | 1.89% | 80.0% | 7.62% | -1.11% |
| 3 days | 5 | 2.18% | 1.36% | 60.0% | 10.61% | -7.98% |
| 7 days | 5 | -3.76% | -4.29% | 20.0% | 9.83% | -17.97% |
| 14 days | 4 | -6.82% | -6.27% | 25.0% | 6.12% | -17.56% |
| 30 days | 3 | -31.29% | -24.74% | 0.0% | -3.60% | -39.34% |
| 90 days | 3 | -34.47% | -34.65% | 0.0% | -34.39% | -35.07% |
Historical occurrences
5 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 0.84 | $7.90 | +2.18% | -1.34% | -7.67% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 0.04 | $6.77 | +7.62% | +10.61% | +9.83% | +6.12% | — | — |
| 2026-05-09 | 1.76 | $9.91 | +0.57% | +2.18% | -3.76% | -7.70% | -31.29% | -35.07% |
| 2026-03-13 | 0.55 | $9.73 | +0.19% | +3.33% | -1.88% | -5.95% | -3.60% | -34.39% |
| 2026-01-14 | 1.46 | $14.79 | -1.11% | -7.98% | -17.97% | -17.56% | -39.34% | -34.47% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +9.83%
- 2026-03-13: -1.88%
- 2026-05-09: -3.76%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-14: -17.97%
- 2026-09-07: -7.67%
- 2026-05-09: -3.76%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the prior 30 days; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.