Transparent historical data
What Happens to Avalanche After a 2x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Avalanche dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -33.5% to -28.0% | 1 |
| -28.0% to -22.6% | 1 |
| -22.6% to -17.2% | 0 |
| -17.2% to -11.7% | 0 |
| -11.7% to -6.3% | 0 |
| -6.3% to -0.9% | 1 |
| -0.9% to +4.6% | 0 |
| +4.6% to +10.0% | 0 |
| +10.0% to +15.4% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
8 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 2.17 | $8.07 | -0.81% | -8.04% | -6.35% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 2.11 | $6.77 | +7.62% | +10.61% | +9.83% | +6.12% | — | — |
| 2026-06-20 | 2.11 | $5.89 | +5.84% | +5.73% | +12.27% | +17.85% | +9.62% | — |
| 2026-06-06 | 2.19 | $6.72 | -0.89% | +0.63% | -2.28% | -12.33% | +2.93% | +11.86% |
| 2026-04-08 | 2.69 | $9.46 | -4.36% | -0.67% | -1.51% | -0.74% | +0.46% | -26.80% |
| 2026-02-26 | 2.40 | $9.54 | -1.96% | -3.27% | -0.08% | +0.14% | -7.98% | -4.29% |
| 2026-02-06 | 2.09 | $8.33 | +11.31% | +10.10% | +7.74% | +7.77% | +8.31% | +15.42% |
| 2025-10-11 | 2.09 | $20.86 | +2.97% | +14.20% | -4.34% | -6.55% | -14.84% | -33.47% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-20: +12.27%
- 2026-08-20: +9.83%
- 2026-02-06: +7.74%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-09-08: -6.35%
- 2025-10-11: -4.34%
- 2026-06-06: -2.28%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.