Transparent historical data
What Happens to XRP After a New 30-Day High?
XRP has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -6.62% and 20.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets โ ยท Backtest this rule โ
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -12.5% to -9.5% | 1 |
| -9.5% to -6.4% | 2 |
| -6.4% to -3.4% | 0 |
| -3.4% to -0.4% | 1 |
| -0.4% to +2.6% | 0 |
| +2.6% to +5.6% | 0 |
| +5.6% to +8.6% | 0 |
| +8.6% to +11.6% | 0 |
| +11.6% to +14.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 5 | -2.17% | 1.04% | 20.0% | 14.68% | -3.34% |
| 3 days | 5 | -5.44% | -0.85% | 20.0% | 19.90% | -9.69% |
| 7 days | 5 | -6.62% | -2.97% | 20.0% | 14.62% | -12.46% |
| 14 days | 5 | -11.35% | -6.50% | 20.0% | 14.44% | -15.43% |
| 30 days | 4 | -15.98% | -18.16% | 0.0% | -5.15% | -35.51% |
| 90 days | 4 | -29.34% | -31.21% | 0.0% | -22.97% | -43.18% |
Historical occurrences
5 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only โ outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | 11.01 | $1.27 | +14.68% | +19.90% | +14.62% | +14.44% | โ | โ |
| 2026-05-15 | 0.38 | $1.48 | -3.34% | -5.51% | -7.64% | -11.35% | -22.42% | -32.24% |
| 2026-04-18 | 0.73 | $1.48 | -2.89% | -3.50% | -2.76% | -6.08% | -5.15% | -26.44% |
| 2026-03-17 | 1.23 | $1.54 | -1.10% | -5.44% | -6.62% | -14.07% | -9.55% | -22.97% |
| 2026-01-06 | 11.68 | $2.35 | -2.17% | -9.69% | -12.46% | -15.43% | -35.51% | -43.18% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-21: +14.62%
- 2026-04-18: -2.76%
- 2026-03-17: -6.62%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-06: -12.46%
- 2026-05-15: -7.64%
- 2026-03-17: -6.62%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the prior 30 days; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) โ 1) ร 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.