Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 25
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 25, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Sui
14 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $2.5442 | $2.5016 | -1.67% | 98.33 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-29 | $2.4902 | $2.5073 | +0.69% | 99.00 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $2.0682 | $2.1634 | +4.60% | 103.55 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2025-12-13 | $1.5551 | $1.5600 | +0.32% | 103.88 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $1.5600 | $1.4809 | -5.07% | 98.61 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $1.8205 | $1.8057 | -0.81% | 97.82 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $1.4932 | $1.4615 | -2.12% | 95.74 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $1.3417 | $0.9010 | -32.85% | 64.29 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $1.0633 | $1.0411 | -2.09% | 62.95 |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-07-21 | $0.7213 | $0.7641 | +5.93% | 66.68 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $0.6918 | $0.6718 | -2.89% | 64.75 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.