Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 25
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 25, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Solana
14 historical signal(s) detected for Solana; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $177.9843 | $187.6503 | +5.43% | 105.43 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-29 | $185.7244 | $194.2987 | +4.62% | 110.30 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $165.8882 | $167.3829 | +0.90% | 111.29 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2025-12-13 | $133.2320 | $132.3024 | -0.70% | 110.52 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $132.3024 | $126.1940 | -4.62% | 105.41 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $135.8671 | $144.9119 | +6.66% | 112.43 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $126.1076 | $127.2051 | +0.87% | 113.41 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $117.8830 | $78.4043 | -33.49% | 75.43 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $85.3192 | $84.9768 | -0.40% | 75.13 |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-07-21 | $74.9313 | $77.7489 | +3.76% | 77.95 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $74.4630 | $72.6305 | -2.46% | 76.03 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.