Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 25
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 25, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
14 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $36.8987 | $36.8731 | -0.07% | 99.93 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-29 | $35.3764 | $47.7681 | +35.03% | 134.93 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $40.1118 | $41.5397 | +3.56% | 139.74 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2025-12-13 | $30.9837 | $28.6085 | -7.67% | 129.03 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $28.6085 | $24.8744 | -13.05% | 112.18 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $25.1091 | $25.1181 | +0.04% | 112.23 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $21.0921 | $30.7818 | +45.94% | 163.78 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $30.7396 | $33.0075 | +7.38% | 175.86 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $47.7105 | $61.1249 | +28.12% | 225.31 |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-07-21 | $63.4394 | $62.4209 | -1.61% | 221.69 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $55.8422 | $56.1521 | +0.55% | 222.92 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology