Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin
12 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $54.0166 | $52.3430 | -3.10% | 96.90 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $60.4479 | $60.4000 | -0.08% | 96.82 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $59.3771 | $57.7278 | -2.78% | 94.14 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $56.2013 | $56.8464 | +1.15% | 95.22 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $53.0712 | $52.9860 | -0.16% | 95.06 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $50.8203 | $47.3491 | -6.83% | 88.57 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $53.6289 | $51.2926 | -4.36% | 84.71 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $48.5807 | $50.9637 | +4.91% | 88.87 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $56.2468 | $56.6320 | +0.68% | 89.48 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin · Read the full methodology