Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Sui
12 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $2.1502 | $1.7415 | -19.01% | 80.99 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $1.5644 | $1.6056 | +2.63% | 83.13 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $1.5559 | $1.4459 | -7.07% | 77.25 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $1.3624 | $1.4739 | +8.18% | 83.57 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $1.5278 | $1.4374 | -5.91% | 78.63 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $1.3417 | $0.9010 | -32.85% | 52.80 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $0.9920 | $0.9523 | -4.01% | 50.69 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $0.8069 | $0.7490 | -7.18% | 47.05 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $0.7280 | $0.7619 | +4.66% | 49.24 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.