Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Solana
12 historical signal(s) detected for Solana; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $161.6902 | $138.9855 | -14.04% | 85.96 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $132.2606 | $133.1703 | +0.69% | 86.55 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $129.4954 | $126.0241 | -2.68% | 84.23 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $120.0178 | $126.9562 | +5.78% | 89.10 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $129.7262 | $125.3650 | -3.36% | 86.10 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $117.8830 | $78.4043 | -33.49% | 57.27 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $89.1381 | $86.5600 | -2.89% | 55.61 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $74.1390 | $64.9238 | -12.43% | 48.70 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $80.5860 | $77.8086 | -3.45% | 47.02 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.