Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for LEO Token
12 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $9.1813 | $9.2029 | +0.23% | 100.23 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $9.6340 | $9.4950 | -1.44% | 98.79 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $9.2162 | $8.1029 | -12.08% | 86.86 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $8.4245 | $9.5883 | +13.81% | 98.85 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $8.8379 | $9.1859 | +3.94% | 102.75 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $9.1287 | $6.8176 | -25.32% | 76.73 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $9.2781 | $9.5166 | +2.57% | 78.71 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $10.0670 | $9.4646 | -5.98% | 74.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $9.3585 | $9.7130 | +3.79% | 76.80 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for LEO Token · Read the full methodology