Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
12 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $42.2226 | $37.5015 | -11.18% | 88.82 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $30.9477 | $29.6418 | -4.22% | 85.07 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $28.8767 | $24.7543 | -14.28% | 72.93 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $24.3823 | $24.1971 | -0.76% | 72.37 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $21.6214 | $34.2792 | +58.54% | 114.74 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $30.7396 | $33.0075 | +7.38% | 123.21 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $39.3042 | $39.1758 | -0.33% | 122.80 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $69.7334 | $57.7598 | -17.17% | 101.72 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $69.1959 | $65.4834 | -5.37% | 96.26 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology