Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Dogecoin
12 historical signal(s) detected for Dogecoin; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $0.1790 | $0.1577 | -11.93% | 88.07 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $0.1397 | $0.1391 | -0.47% | 87.66 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $0.1342 | $0.1311 | -2.33% | 85.62 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $0.1236 | $0.1268 | +2.62% | 87.86 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $0.1270 | $0.1255 | -1.19% | 86.81 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $0.1178 | $0.0887 | -24.70% | 65.37 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $0.0943 | $0.0925 | -1.96% | 64.09 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $0.0926 | $0.0847 | -8.50% | 58.65 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $0.0742 | $0.0744 | +0.30% | 58.83 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Dogecoin · Read the full methodology