Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Chainlink
12 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $15.8045 | $13.8180 | -12.57% | 87.43 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $13.9152 | $13.7375 | -1.28% | 86.31 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $13.2875 | $12.4460 | -6.33% | 80.85 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $12.0612 | $12.6253 | +4.68% | 84.63 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $12.8465 | $12.6107 | -1.84% | 83.08 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $11.6356 | $8.2126 | -29.42% | 58.64 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $9.7686 | $9.6516 | -1.20% | 57.93 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $8.3646 | $7.8339 | -6.34% | 54.26 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $7.8619 | $8.3387 | +6.06% | 57.55 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Chainlink · Read the full methodology