Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for BNB
12 historical signal(s) detected for BNB; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $991.3742 | $915.9157 | -7.61% | 92.39 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $890.5430 | $896.9969 | +0.72% | 93.06 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $877.6019 | $858.4218 | -2.19% | 91.02 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $829.3812 | $863.1439 | +4.07% | 94.73 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $882.7934 | $902.0202 | +2.18% | 96.79 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $867.5133 | $606.9029 | -30.04% | 67.72 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $639.1520 | $628.0751 | -1.73% | 66.54 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $650.2436 | $593.0656 | -8.79% | 60.69 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $576.6080 | $581.3478 | +0.82% | 61.19 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.