Historical rule simulator

Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin

6 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate83.3%
Average return / trade+6.75%
Compounded total return+45.88%
Max drawdown-4.50%
Buy & hold, same period+1.59%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-11-15 2025-11-22 $52.3430 $57.0967 +9.08% 109.08
2026-02-06 2026-02-13 $47.3491 $49.3735 +4.28% 113.75
2026-03-02 2026-03-09 $47.8759 $53.1889 +11.10% 126.37
2026-03-09 2026-03-16 $53.1889 $54.1945 +1.89% 128.76
2026-03-22 2026-03-29 $53.7289 $51.3121 -4.50% 122.97
2026-06-08 2026-06-15 $44.8209 $53.1729 +18.63% 145.88

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin ยท Read the full methodology