Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Stellar
6 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $0.2594 | $0.2316 | -10.72% | 89.28 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $0.1649 | $0.1566 | -5.04% | 84.78 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $0.1544 | $0.1482 | -4.01% | 81.38 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $0.1482 | $0.1694 | +14.26% | 92.99 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $0.1606 | $0.1681 | +4.69% | 97.35 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $0.2057 | $0.1909 | -7.20% | 90.34 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.