Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Monero
6 historical signal(s) detected for Monero; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $391.8337 | $335.7670 | -14.31% | 85.69 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $292.3172 | $332.5802 | +13.77% | 97.49 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $336.6338 | $329.9859 | -1.97% | 95.57 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $329.9859 | $351.0516 | +6.38% | 101.67 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $334.5794 | $330.6913 | -1.16% | 100.49 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $302.8756 | $340.9439 | +12.57% | 113.12 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.