Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Litecoin
6 historical signal(s) detected for Litecoin; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $97.6261 | $82.5908 | -15.40% | 84.60 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $50.8023 | $53.1345 | +4.59% | 88.48 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $53.2577 | $52.6594 | -1.12% | 87.49 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $52.6594 | $56.4353 | +7.17% | 93.76 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $54.3676 | $53.8480 | -0.96% | 92.87 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $42.8114 | $45.3777 | +5.99% | 98.43 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Litecoin · Read the full methodology