Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Bitcoin Rises 5% in a Day
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when bitcoin rises 5% in a day, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin
7 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 7 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $61.5310 | $61.7512 | +0.36% | 100.36 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $52.4036 | $50.5664 | -3.51% | 96.84 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $50.0454 | $51.6923 | +3.29% | 100.03 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $51.6923 | $55.4176 | +7.21% | 107.24 |
| 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-21 | $54.7301 | $54.7747 | +0.08% | 107.32 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $59.5563 | $73.1488 | +22.82% | 131.82 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $74.0742 | $79.2440 | +6.98% | 141.02 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin · Read the full methodology