Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Bitcoin Rises 3% in a Day
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when bitcoin rises 3% in a day, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin
20 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 15 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-02 | 2025-10-09 | $43.2046 | $44.4248 | +2.82% | 102.82 |
| 2025-10-13 | 2025-10-20 | $43.3638 | $41.4425 | -4.43% | 98.27 |
| 2025-11-27 | 2025-12-04 | $58.7140 | $62.8851 | +7.10% | 105.25 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $57.7051 | $56.0652 | -2.84% | 102.26 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $54.9704 | $52.6169 | -4.28% | 97.88 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $52.4036 | $50.5664 | -3.51% | 94.45 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $50.5664 | $49.8365 | -1.44% | 93.09 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $50.0454 | $51.6923 | +3.29% | 96.15 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $51.6923 | $55.4176 | +7.21% | 103.08 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $54.1720 | $51.3504 | -5.21% | 97.71 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $53.6154 | $54.4639 | +1.58% | 99.26 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $44.8209 | $53.1729 | +18.63% | 117.75 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $56.6320 | $57.6949 | +1.88% | 119.96 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $59.5563 | $73.1488 | +22.82% | 147.34 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $74.0742 | $79.2440 | +6.98% | 157.62 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin · Read the full methodology