Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for TRON

8 historical signal(s) detected for TRON; 8 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades8
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade+0.45%
Compounded total return+3.45%
Max drawdown-2.97%
Buy & hold, same period+17.18%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-12-22 2025-12-29 $0.2882 $0.2848 -1.19% 98.81
2026-01-03 2026-01-10 $0.2889 $0.2982 +3.23% 102.01
2026-03-09 2026-03-16 $0.2894 $0.2986 +3.15% 105.22
2026-04-22 2026-04-29 $0.3330 $0.3231 -2.97% 102.10
2026-05-04 2026-05-11 $0.3382 $0.3506 +3.67% 105.84
2026-07-27 2026-08-03 $0.3321 $0.3265 -1.69% 104.05
2026-08-12 2026-08-19 $0.3349 $0.3327 -0.67% 103.36
2026-08-21 2026-08-28 $0.3374 $0.3377 +0.09% 103.45

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for TRON ยท Read the full methodology