Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

5 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 5 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades5
Win rate40.0%
Average return / trade-3.39%
Compounded total return-17.76%
Max drawdown-24.39%
Buy & hold, same period-55.33%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-04 2026-01-11 $1.6649 $1.8109 +8.77% 108.77
2026-03-16 2026-03-23 $1.0570 $0.9403 -11.04% 96.76
2026-05-09 2026-05-16 $1.0226 $1.0989 +7.47% 103.98
2026-07-22 2026-07-29 $0.7713 $0.6921 -10.27% 93.31
2026-08-22 2026-08-29 $0.8438 $0.7437 -11.86% 82.24

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology