Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Solana

6 historical signal(s) detected for Solana; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade-0.17%
Compounded total return-3.94%
Max drawdown-20.29%
Buy & hold, same period-26.05%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-06 2026-01-13 $138.0003 $139.0723 +0.78% 100.78
2026-01-14 2026-01-21 $145.7386 $126.1076 -13.47% 87.20
2026-03-16 2026-03-23 $92.8425 $86.5100 -6.82% 81.25
2026-05-07 2026-05-14 $89.1654 $91.1181 +2.19% 83.03
2026-07-03 2026-07-10 $80.6197 $77.9922 -3.26% 80.33
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $85.3331 $102.0489 +19.59% 96.06

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Solana ยท Read the full methodology