Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for LEO Token

7 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 7 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades7
Win rate28.6%
Average return / trade-1.96%
Compounded total return-13.27%
Max drawdown-13.27%
Buy & hold, same period+0.24%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-14 2025-10-21 $9.6691 $8.9803 -7.12% 92.88
2025-11-27 2025-12-04 $9.6938 $9.5313 -1.68% 91.32
2026-03-03 2026-03-10 $9.0321 $9.1553 +1.36% 92.56
2026-03-11 2026-03-18 $9.1665 $9.0642 -1.12% 91.53
2026-03-20 2026-03-27 $9.2781 $9.5166 +2.57% 93.88
2026-04-08 2026-04-15 $10.5483 $9.8711 -6.42% 87.86
2026-07-16 2026-07-23 $9.8185 $9.6924 -1.28% 86.73

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for LEO Token ยท Read the full methodology