Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Hyperliquid

8 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 8 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades8
Win rate62.5%
Average return / trade+6.02%
Compounded total return+44.71%
Max drawdown-16.89%
Buy & hold, same period+155.21%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-28 2026-02-04 $30.7818 $32.5227 +5.66% 105.66
2026-02-05 2026-02-12 $35.4327 $29.4475 -16.89% 87.81
2026-03-10 2026-03-17 $34.6599 $40.7693 +17.63% 103.29
2026-04-12 2026-04-19 $42.3150 $43.8101 +3.53% 106.94
2026-05-18 2026-05-25 $45.6916 $62.7928 +37.43% 146.96
2026-05-30 2026-06-06 $64.4099 $59.7116 -7.29% 136.24
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $69.6037 $82.2983 +18.24% 161.09
2026-09-04 2026-09-11 $87.4499 $78.5568 -10.17% 144.71

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Hyperliquid ยท Read the full methodology