Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Dogecoin

5 historical signal(s) detected for Dogecoin; 5 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades5
Win rate40.0%
Average return / trade+1.52%
Compounded total return+5.45%
Max drawdown-9.81%
Buy & hold, same period-41.51%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-05 2026-01-12 $0.1499 $0.1382 -7.81% 92.19
2026-04-18 2026-04-25 $0.0995 $0.0985 -1.01% 91.26
2026-04-30 2026-05-07 $0.1041 $0.1125 +8.04% 98.60
2026-05-15 2026-05-22 $0.1153 $0.1055 -8.53% 90.19
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $0.0750 $0.0877 +16.91% 105.45

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Dogecoin ยท Read the full methodology