Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Cardano

5 historical signal(s) detected for Cardano; 5 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades5
Win rate0.0%
Average return / trade-8.55%
Compounded total return-36.75%
Max drawdown-36.75%
Buy & hold, same period-52.83%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-14 2026-01-21 $0.4305 $0.3647 -15.29% 84.71
2026-05-07 2026-05-14 $0.2671 $0.2647 -0.89% 83.95
2026-07-05 2026-07-12 $0.1920 $0.1656 -13.75% 72.41
2026-08-04 2026-08-11 $0.1935 $0.1907 -1.47% 71.35
2026-08-22 2026-08-29 $0.2291 $0.2031 -11.35% 63.25

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Cardano ยท Read the full methodology