Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for BNB

9 historical signal(s) detected for BNB; 8 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (1 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades8
Win rate37.5%
Average return / trade-2.55%
Compounded total return-21.42%
Max drawdown-28.72%
Buy & hold, same period-22.16%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-06 2026-01-13 $910.1472 $904.5924 -0.61% 99.39
2026-01-14 2026-01-21 $943.2812 $881.8890 -6.51% 92.92
2026-03-16 2026-03-23 $675.7511 $626.5374 -7.28% 86.15
2026-05-07 2026-05-14 $647.9171 $671.3873 +3.62% 89.27
2026-05-31 2026-06-07 $719.2840 $574.2854 -20.16% 71.28
2026-07-31 2026-08-07 $591.6968 $591.7111 +0.00% 71.28
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $627.0534 $707.4796 +12.83% 80.42
2026-09-04 2026-09-11 $725.0808 $708.4278 -2.30% 78.58

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for BNB ยท Read the full methodology