Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for TRON
49 historical signal(s) detected for TRON; 27 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (22 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | 2025-09-18 | $0.3384 | $0.3433 | +1.45% | 101.45 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025-09-27 | $0.3438 | $0.3384 | -1.58% | 99.84 |
| 2025-09-28 | 2025-10-05 | $0.3368 | $0.3404 | +1.08% | 100.92 |
| 2025-10-08 | 2025-10-15 | $0.3380 | $0.3170 | -6.23% | 94.63 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2025-11-16 | $0.2914 | $0.2945 | +1.08% | 95.65 |
| 2025-11-18 | 2025-11-25 | $0.2914 | $0.2748 | -5.71% | 90.19 |
| 2025-11-25 | 2025-12-02 | $0.2748 | $0.2769 | +0.79% | 90.90 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $0.2873 | $0.2710 | -5.67% | 85.75 |
| 2025-12-16 | 2025-12-23 | $0.2782 | $0.2842 | +2.16% | 87.60 |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-05 | $0.2848 | $0.2939 | +3.20% | 90.40 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2026-01-12 | $0.2939 | $0.2992 | +1.79% | 92.02 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2026-01-19 | $0.2992 | $0.3171 | +5.99% | 97.53 |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026-01-26 | $0.3171 | $0.2956 | -6.76% | 90.93 |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026-02-15 | $0.2781 | $0.2825 | +1.58% | 92.37 |
| 2026-03-15 | 2026-03-22 | $0.2978 | $0.3110 | +4.46% | 96.49 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-30 | $0.3107 | $0.3216 | +3.51% | 99.88 |
| 2026-04-06 | 2026-04-13 | $0.3274 | $0.3213 | -1.89% | 97.99 |
| 2026-04-13 | 2026-04-20 | $0.3213 | $0.3291 | +2.45% | 100.39 |
| 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | $0.3297 | $0.3231 | -2.00% | 98.38 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2026-05-10 | $0.3300 | $0.3501 | +6.10% | 104.38 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $0.3506 | $0.3553 | +1.34% | 105.78 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2026-05-30 | $0.3619 | $0.3440 | -4.94% | 100.55 |
| 2026-07-06 | 2026-07-13 | $0.3290 | $0.3313 | +0.70% | 101.26 |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-30 | $0.3288 | $0.3254 | -1.01% | 100.23 |
| 2026-08-02 | 2026-08-09 | $0.3277 | $0.3289 | +0.36% | 100.60 |
| 2026-08-16 | 2026-08-23 | $0.3310 | $0.3443 | +4.02% | 104.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | 2026-09-02 | $0.3362 | $0.3222 | -4.17% | 100.28 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.