Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Monero
18 historical signal(s) detected for Monero; 13 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-16 | 2025-09-23 | $305.9273 | $290.0283 | -5.20% | 94.80 |
| 2025-09-25 | 2025-10-02 | $292.5665 | $312.6627 | +6.87% | 101.31 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $294.1979 | $291.5727 | -0.89% | 100.41 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | $291.5727 | $327.2586 | +12.24% | 112.70 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $335.7670 | $411.1644 | +22.46% | 138.01 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $436.9172 | $362.6838 | -16.99% | 114.56 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-17 | $388.2205 | $428.7859 | +10.45% | 126.53 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-20 | $627.9680 | $617.2211 | -1.71% | 124.36 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $382.5622 | $385.7068 | +0.82% | 125.39 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $354.0231 | $373.3981 | +5.47% | 132.25 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-23 | $347.8177 | $317.5341 | -8.71% | 120.73 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $309.2186 | $319.6133 | +3.36% | 124.79 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $360.0848 | $369.5125 | +2.62% | 128.06 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.