Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Litecoin
66 historical signal(s) detected for Litecoin; 33 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (33 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
3 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-12 | 2025-09-19 | $115.9173 | $118.2714 | +2.03% | 102.03 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025-09-27 | $114.0750 | $104.5186 | -8.38% | 93.48 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $96.8838 | $90.1182 | -6.98% | 86.96 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-29 | $92.6466 | $96.6683 | +4.34% | 90.73 |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-07 | $93.2848 | $86.9684 | -6.77% | 84.59 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-21 | $96.5655 | $87.2307 | -9.67% | 76.41 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2025-12-13 | $80.3692 | $81.9242 | +1.93% | 77.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2025-12-21 | $81.4767 | $77.8128 | -4.50% | 74.39 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2025-12-28 | $77.8128 | $80.2012 | +3.07% | 76.67 |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-05 | $78.6155 | $82.4381 | +4.86% | 80.40 |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026-01-14 | $83.8639 | $78.3122 | -6.62% | 75.07 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-01-22 | $76.6400 | $68.5615 | -10.54% | 67.16 |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026-02-15 | $55.1797 | $55.9546 | +1.40% | 68.10 |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-25 | $53.9253 | $51.1705 | -5.11% | 64.63 |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-03-07 | $54.5804 | $53.8254 | -1.38% | 63.73 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $55.2653 | $56.1825 | +1.66% | 64.79 |
| 2026-03-26 | 2026-04-02 | $56.6182 | $53.8239 | -4.94% | 61.59 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $53.9224 | $55.2154 | +2.40% | 63.07 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2026-04-25 | $56.4510 | $56.5288 | +0.14% | 63.16 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2026-05-02 | $56.5288 | $55.3856 | -2.02% | 61.88 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2026-05-10 | $55.3640 | $57.9924 | +4.75% | 64.82 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2026-05-17 | $57.9924 | $56.1451 | -3.19% | 62.75 |
| 2026-05-30 | 2026-06-06 | $51.8478 | $43.2830 | -16.52% | 52.39 |
| 2026-06-18 | 2026-06-25 | $44.8732 | $41.0741 | -8.47% | 47.95 |
| 2026-07-07 | 2026-07-14 | $44.8030 | $43.5222 | -2.86% | 46.58 |
| 2026-07-16 | 2026-07-23 | $45.1363 | $47.1068 | +4.37% | 48.61 |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-03 | $47.7965 | $44.6443 | -6.60% | 45.41 |
| 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-12 | $44.8127 | $45.4559 | +1.44% | 46.06 |
| 2026-08-12 | 2026-08-19 | $45.4559 | $44.3477 | -2.44% | 44.94 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2026-09-09 | $49.5400 | $54.2939 | +9.60% | 49.25 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Litecoin · Read the full methodology