Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Chainlink
81 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 39 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (42 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-10 | 2025-09-17 | $23.0572 | $23.4895 | +1.87% | 101.87 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025-09-27 | $23.5138 | $21.0576 | -10.45% | 91.23 |
| 2025-09-29 | 2025-10-06 | $21.6765 | $21.9950 | +1.47% | 92.57 |
| 2025-10-06 | 2025-10-13 | $21.9950 | $19.0301 | -13.48% | 80.09 |
| 2025-10-16 | 2025-10-23 | $18.0588 | $17.2069 | -4.72% | 76.32 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025-11-05 | $17.8387 | $14.7187 | -17.49% | 62.97 |
| 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-19 | $15.2975 | $13.7755 | -9.95% | 56.70 |
| 2025-11-21 | 2025-11-28 | $12.9302 | $13.3436 | +3.20% | 58.52 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $12.9745 | $13.6391 | +5.12% | 61.51 |
| 2025-12-08 | 2025-12-15 | $13.6391 | $13.2875 | -2.58% | 59.93 |
| 2025-12-16 | 2025-12-23 | $12.8608 | $12.5689 | -2.27% | 58.57 |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-05 | $12.4758 | $13.4675 | +7.95% | 63.22 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2026-01-12 | $13.4675 | $14.0264 | +4.15% | 65.85 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2026-01-19 | $14.0264 | $13.6218 | -2.88% | 63.95 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $12.6694 | $12.7337 | +0.51% | 64.27 |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026-02-04 | $12.7337 | $9.9099 | -22.18% | 50.02 |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026-02-12 | $9.7648 | $9.0330 | -7.49% | 46.27 |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026-02-22 | $9.9620 | $10.0891 | +1.28% | 46.86 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026-03-01 | $10.0891 | $9.4741 | -6.10% | 44.00 |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026-03-10 | $9.6419 | $9.6196 | -0.23% | 43.90 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2026-03-18 | $9.7805 | $10.3969 | +6.30% | 46.67 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $9.5910 | $8.6187 | -10.14% | 41.94 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $8.9426 | $8.8512 | -1.02% | 41.51 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $8.8512 | $9.2658 | +4.68% | 43.45 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2026-04-25 | $9.6201 | $9.3743 | -2.56% | 42.34 |
| 2026-04-27 | 2026-05-04 | $9.4881 | $9.1223 | -3.86% | 40.71 |
| 2026-05-13 | 2026-05-20 | $10.2808 | $9.4396 | -8.18% | 37.38 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2026-05-30 | $9.4113 | $9.0137 | -4.22% | 35.80 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2026-06-08 | $9.1361 | $7.9085 | -13.44% | 30.99 |
| 2026-06-09 | 2026-06-16 | $7.9932 | $8.2944 | +3.77% | 32.16 |
| 2026-06-18 | 2026-06-25 | $8.0845 | $7.4151 | -8.28% | 29.50 |
| 2026-06-28 | 2026-07-05 | $7.2872 | $8.0004 | +9.79% | 32.38 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $7.8619 | $8.3387 | +6.06% | 34.35 |
| 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-24 | $8.3346 | $8.4653 | +1.57% | 34.88 |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $8.3348 | $8.1637 | -2.05% | 34.17 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-25 | $9.5354 | $11.6222 | +21.89% | 41.65 |
| 2026-08-28 | 2026-09-04 | $11.9230 | $11.8327 | -0.76% | 41.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $11.8327 | $11.4667 | -3.09% | 40.05 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Chainlink · Read the full methodology