Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Cardano
56 historical signal(s) detected for Cardano; 31 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (25 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | 2025-09-28 | $0.8939 | $0.7814 | -12.59% | 87.41 |
| 2025-10-06 | 2025-10-13 | $0.8371 | $0.7002 | -16.35% | 73.12 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | $0.6247 | $0.6563 | +5.06% | 76.82 |
| 2025-10-28 | 2025-11-04 | $0.6670 | $0.5515 | -17.31% | 63.52 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2025-11-16 | $0.5681 | $0.5034 | -11.39% | 56.29 |
| 2025-11-16 | 2025-11-23 | $0.5034 | $0.4042 | -19.72% | 45.19 |
| 2025-11-23 | 2025-11-30 | $0.4042 | $0.4153 | +2.75% | 46.43 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $0.4148 | $0.4171 | +0.55% | 46.68 |
| 2025-12-09 | 2025-12-16 | $0.4322 | $0.3880 | -10.21% | 41.91 |
| 2025-12-16 | 2025-12-23 | $0.3880 | $0.3705 | -4.52% | 40.02 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026-01-06 | $0.3528 | $0.4219 | +19.57% | 47.85 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2026-01-19 | $0.4095 | $0.3854 | -5.87% | 45.04 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $0.3647 | $0.3770 | +3.37% | 46.56 |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-05 | $0.3711 | $0.2998 | -19.21% | 37.62 |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-20 | $0.2832 | $0.2907 | +2.66% | 38.62 |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026-03-06 | $0.2990 | $0.2869 | -4.04% | 37.06 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $0.2788 | $0.2662 | -4.52% | 35.38 |
| 2026-03-26 | 2026-04-02 | $0.2841 | $0.2488 | -12.40% | 30.99 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2026-04-12 | $0.2480 | $0.2496 | +0.64% | 31.19 |
| 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-22 | $0.2400 | $0.2498 | +4.10% | 32.47 |
| 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | $0.2485 | $0.2446 | -1.57% | 31.96 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $0.2446 | $0.2671 | +9.20% | 34.90 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2026-05-17 | $0.2710 | $0.2551 | -5.87% | 32.85 |
| 2026-05-30 | 2026-06-06 | $0.2328 | $0.1566 | -32.71% | 22.11 |
| 2026-06-12 | 2026-06-19 | $0.1703 | $0.1635 | -3.99% | 21.22 |
| 2026-07-07 | 2026-07-14 | $0.1840 | $0.1574 | -14.46% | 18.16 |
| 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $0.1660 | $0.1659 | -0.11% | 18.14 |
| 2026-08-07 | 2026-08-14 | $0.2010 | $0.1822 | -9.34% | 16.44 |
| 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-21 | $0.1822 | $0.1990 | +9.17% | 17.95 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-03 | $0.2124 | $0.2010 | -5.36% | 16.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-12 | $0.2112 | $0.2062 | -2.36% | 16.59 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.