Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Enters Its Top 95th Percentile
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding enters its top 95th percentile, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Monero
15 historical signal(s) detected for Monero; 13 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (2 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-22 | $306.5798 | $292.8351 | -4.48% | 95.52 |
| 2025-09-22 | 2025-09-29 | $292.8351 | $290.5599 | -0.78% | 94.77 |
| 2025-10-10 | 2025-10-17 | $341.9820 | $301.8252 | -11.74% | 83.65 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $347.1826 | $347.1538 | -0.01% | 83.64 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2025-11-16 | $367.3820 | $422.0421 | +14.88% | 96.08 |
| 2026-01-18 | 2026-01-25 | $588.6166 | $491.4457 | -16.51% | 80.22 |
| 2026-05-06 | 2026-05-13 | $412.0118 | $411.3087 | -0.17% | 80.08 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $325.7130 | $311.4992 | -4.36% | 76.59 |
| 2026-06-20 | 2026-06-27 | $314.7739 | $320.6856 | +1.88% | 78.03 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2026-07-25 | $330.3867 | $363.6211 | +10.06% | 85.88 |
| 2026-08-10 | 2026-08-17 | $394.4625 | $409.8816 | +3.91% | 89.23 |
| 2026-08-22 | 2026-08-29 | $412.6073 | $471.9411 | +14.38% | 102.07 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $520.4191 | $508.2345 | -2.34% | 99.68 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.