Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Enters Its Bottom 5th Percentile
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding enters its bottom 5th percentile, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
36 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 27 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (9 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $38.1168 | $35.4686 | -6.95% | 93.05 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-29 | $35.3764 | $47.7681 | +35.03% | 125.65 |
| 2025-11-21 | 2025-11-28 | $37.6120 | $34.7234 | -7.68% | 116.00 |
| 2025-12-05 | 2025-12-12 | $33.5655 | $29.1704 | -13.09% | 100.81 |
| 2025-12-16 | 2025-12-23 | $27.5795 | $24.8523 | -9.89% | 90.84 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $25.4420 | $26.8316 | +5.46% | 95.80 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026-01-27 | $23.7731 | $24.9948 | +5.14% | 100.72 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026-02-03 | $24.9948 | $33.2521 | +33.04% | 134.00 |
| 2026-02-10 | 2026-02-17 | $31.3538 | $31.2807 | -0.23% | 133.69 |
| 2026-02-23 | 2026-03-02 | $28.1139 | $31.6166 | +12.46% | 150.34 |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026-03-11 | $31.3313 | $34.6903 | +10.72% | 166.46 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2026-03-18 | $34.6903 | $41.2391 | +18.88% | 197.89 |
| 2026-03-18 | 2026-03-25 | $41.2391 | $40.3380 | -2.19% | 193.56 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2026-04-05 | $39.4768 | $36.3952 | -7.81% | 178.45 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $38.7153 | $44.6831 | +15.41% | 205.96 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $39.9505 | $43.1093 | +7.91% | 222.25 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2026-05-16 | $43.2521 | $44.1644 | +2.11% | 226.93 |
| 2026-05-30 | 2026-06-06 | $64.4099 | $59.7116 | -7.29% | 210.38 |
| 2026-06-07 | 2026-06-14 | $56.5968 | $60.6895 | +7.23% | 225.59 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-22 | $63.8873 | $66.9597 | +4.81% | 236.44 |
| 2026-06-22 | 2026-06-29 | $66.9597 | $61.4204 | -8.27% | 216.88 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $62.3529 | $67.5971 | +8.41% | 235.12 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-16 | $67.5971 | $66.8295 | -1.14% | 232.45 |
| 2026-07-16 | 2026-07-23 | $66.8295 | $59.3583 | -11.18% | 206.47 |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-02 | $58.1230 | $52.1563 | -10.27% | 185.27 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-25 | $59.4189 | $78.8814 | +32.75% | 245.96 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-15 | $85.1423 | $80.3376 | -5.64% | 232.08 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology