Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Enters Its Bottom 5th Percentile
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding enters its bottom 5th percentile, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Dogecoin
19 historical signal(s) detected for Dogecoin; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (7 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.1937 | $0.1848 | -4.61% | 95.39 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025-11-05 | $0.1936 | $0.1625 | -16.08% | 80.06 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-21 | $0.1637 | $0.1491 | -8.96% | 72.88 |
| 2025-12-02 | 2025-12-09 | $0.1355 | $0.1426 | +5.22% | 76.69 |
| 2025-12-16 | 2025-12-23 | $0.1297 | $0.1324 | +2.09% | 78.29 |
| 2026-01-26 | 2026-02-02 | $0.1198 | $0.1048 | -12.57% | 68.45 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $0.0887 | $0.0939 | +5.84% | 72.44 |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026-02-28 | $0.1008 | $0.0942 | -6.56% | 67.69 |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-03-07 | $0.0942 | $0.0919 | -2.38% | 66.08 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-30 | $0.0912 | $0.0904 | -0.87% | 65.50 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $0.0923 | $0.0925 | +0.20% | 65.63 |
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0692 | $0.0706 | +2.02% | 66.96 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Dogecoin · Read the full methodology