Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Zcash

60 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 35 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (25 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades34
Win rate47.1%
Average return / trade+3.83%
Compounded total return+101.04%
Max drawdown-62.40%
Buy & hold, same period+2031.88%

Hypothetical growth of $100

1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-09-13 2025-09-20 $49.8602 $48.9116 -1.90% 98.10
2025-09-24 2025-10-01 $54.9860 $74.1061 +34.77% 132.21
2025-10-02 2025-10-09 $120.1539 $175.5784 +46.13% 193.19
2025-10-17 2025-10-24 $204.5334 $243.1103 +18.86% 229.63
2025-10-27 2025-11-03 $327.5101 $417.7495 +27.55% 292.90
2025-11-08 2025-11-15 $649.8903 $608.1992 -6.42% 274.11
2025-11-18 2025-11-25 $613.6129 $519.0731 -15.41% 231.88
2025-11-29 2025-12-06 $453.0691 $359.9526 -20.55% 184.22
2025-12-06 2025-12-13 $359.9526 $456.0426 +26.70% 233.40
2025-12-13 2025-12-20 $456.0426 $444.3941 -2.55% 227.44
2026-01-06 2026-01-13 $503.3604 $405.9944 -19.34% 183.45
2026-01-21 2026-01-28 $349.5431 $397.8827 +13.83% 208.82
2026-01-29 2026-02-05 $370.2155 $251.1583 -32.16% 141.66
2026-02-10 2026-02-17 $240.3756 $293.6313 +22.16% 173.05
2026-02-19 2026-02-26 $263.1292 $243.5030 -7.46% 160.14
2026-03-02 2026-03-09 $213.2087 $197.4597 -7.39% 148.31
2026-03-13 2026-03-20 $207.4544 $234.5005 +13.04% 167.65
2026-03-25 2026-04-01 $241.7843 $247.4266 +2.33% 171.56
2026-04-12 2026-04-19 $370.8013 $323.2368 -12.83% 149.55
2026-04-19 2026-04-26 $323.2368 $358.8737 +11.03% 166.04
2026-04-28 2026-05-05 $355.3007 $423.1110 +19.09% 197.73
2026-05-09 2026-05-16 $612.6839 $515.1261 -15.92% 166.25
2026-05-26 2026-06-02 $651.6263 $543.6724 -16.57% 138.70
2026-06-05 2026-06-12 $459.1723 $427.9931 -6.79% 129.29
2026-06-16 2026-06-23 $518.4990 $441.7266 -14.81% 110.14
2026-06-26 2026-07-03 $416.3724 $434.1917 +4.28% 114.86
2026-07-03 2026-07-10 $434.1917 $481.1850 +10.82% 127.29
2026-07-10 2026-07-17 $481.1850 $523.5638 +8.81% 138.50
2026-07-17 2026-07-24 $523.5638 $504.2249 -3.69% 133.38
2026-07-27 2026-08-03 $507.8147 $489.1385 -3.68% 128.48
2026-08-05 2026-08-12 $505.5242 $480.6650 -4.92% 122.16
2026-08-15 2026-08-22 $492.8350 $733.4660 +48.83% 181.80
2026-08-29 2026-09-05 $801.3777 $1023.0378 +27.66% 232.09
2026-09-07 2026-09-14 $1227.1109 $1062.9597 -13.38% 201.04

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Zcash ยท Read the full methodology