Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Stellar
55 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 30 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (25 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | 2025-09-18 | $0.3835 | $0.3957 | +3.16% | 103.16 |
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $0.3648 | $0.3642 | -0.18% | 102.98 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $0.3302 | $0.3049 | -7.66% | 95.09 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $0.2699 | $0.2815 | +4.30% | 99.18 |
| 2025-11-18 | 2025-11-25 | $0.2468 | $0.2550 | +3.32% | 102.47 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $0.2547 | $0.2534 | -0.52% | 101.94 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $0.2192 | $0.2134 | -2.66% | 99.22 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2026-01-03 | $0.2134 | $0.2201 | +3.12% | 102.32 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-20 | $0.2193 | $0.2156 | -1.67% | 100.61 |
| 2026-01-26 | 2026-02-02 | $0.2036 | $0.1751 | -13.98% | 86.55 |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-10 | $0.1812 | $0.1599 | -11.74% | 76.38 |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026-03-04 | $0.1498 | $0.1513 | +0.98% | 77.13 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $0.1596 | $0.1592 | -0.23% | 76.95 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-20 | $0.1596 | $0.1654 | +3.59% | 79.71 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $0.1670 | $0.1675 | +0.25% | 79.92 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $0.1635 | $0.1549 | -5.26% | 75.71 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-24 | $0.1693 | $0.1754 | +3.62% | 78.45 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $0.1647 | $0.1618 | -1.80% | 77.04 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2026-05-16 | $0.1636 | $0.1546 | -5.52% | 72.78 |
| 2026-05-24 | 2026-05-31 | $0.1478 | $0.2299 | +55.58% | 113.23 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-06-07 | $0.2299 | $0.2124 | -7.63% | 104.59 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-23 | $0.2134 | $0.2025 | -5.12% | 99.23 |
| 2026-06-27 | 2026-07-04 | $0.1775 | $0.2039 | +14.91% | 114.02 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-16 | $0.1811 | $0.1883 | +3.98% | 118.57 |
| 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-28 | $0.1884 | $0.1718 | -8.78% | 108.16 |
| 2026-08-02 | 2026-08-09 | $0.1709 | $0.1644 | -3.77% | 104.07 |
| 2026-08-12 | 2026-08-19 | $0.1619 | $0.1547 | -4.45% | 99.44 |
| 2026-08-19 | 2026-08-26 | $0.1547 | $0.1825 | +17.94% | 117.29 |
| 2026-08-30 | 2026-09-06 | $0.1797 | $0.1840 | +2.39% | 120.10 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.